The National Hunt season is finally back in full force and I’m hoping to help find you some winners.
I’ve detailed the key trends and stats for some of the races at Cheltenham’s seasonal opener on Friday 24th October, including a detailed spreadsheet which shows which horses meet/don’t meet the trends.
13:50 – Holland Cooper ‘Chasing Excellence’ Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m
11/11 – Between 0-2 Chase wins
11/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter
10/11 – Aged between 5-7
9/11 – Winning favourites
7/11 – Placed within the top two last time out
7/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – French bred
5/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Ran at Newton Abbot last time out
3/11 – Irish trained
2/11 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 8)
2/11 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell (last 2)
Find a detailed spreadsheet of all the horses meeting the trends by clicking here.
15:00 – Oddschecker Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Sharp Novices’ Hurdle) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m 1/2f
12/12 – Had won over hurdles
12/12 – Top 4 finish last time out
11/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
11/12 – Had at least 2 runs over 15-17 furlongs
11/12 – Had won over 15-17 furlongs
10/12 – Aged 4 or 5
10/12 – Within the top 3 of the betting
9/12 – Had ran over hurdles at least twice
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Had ran within the last 29 days
7/12 – Irish bred winners
7/12 – Had ran at Cheltenham
6/12 – Rated 130+
5/12 – Didn’t have a rating
4/12 – Had won at Cheltenham
2/12 – Were favourites
Find a detailed spreadsheet of all the horses meeting the trends by clicking here.
15:35 – squareintheair.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
9/10 – Hadn’t ran for 5+ months
9/10 – Aged between 6-8
8/10 – Ran at Listowel, Chepstow, Aintree or Cheltenham last time out
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Carried 10-10 or more
6/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
5/10 – Aged 8 years old
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Irish-trained winners (2 of the last 3)
2/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
– The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
– 7 of the last 10 favourites placed within the top 3
Find a detailed spreadsheet of all the horses meeting the trends by clicking here.
